Simerian Explorer Treasure Map Log

I bought the full map for 25mil!!!
So Im seeing how long it takes to pay off the cost beforeI get profit!

___________________________________________________
Abstract

As of May 08, 2020, the average of all 24 runes is 493,818.25MP

The cost of a usual quest (asks up to 3 items) can range from 1mp-9kmp per quest item. Therefore, the lowest cost can be 1mp (1 item) or 27k (3 expensive items). So there is a huge window of a standard deviation per quest.

I only accept quests that cost (in total) ~15k or less. Usually around 2,000-11,000mp.

After 500 Quests (May 8th, 2020), I've gotten 28 Runes = Averaging at 1 Rune per 17.86 quests.

The payout (MP) is usually ~3,500mp, not the best.
___________________________________________________
Calculations/Predictions

LOWEST QUEST COST
COST: 2,000mp cost x 18quests = 36,000mp overall cost
INTERMEDIATE: (18quests x 3,500mp prize) - 36,000mp = +27,000mp
PROFIT: 493,818mp rune + 27,000mp prize = 520,818mp total

HIGHEST QUEST COST
COST: 11,000mp cost x 18quests = 198,000mp overall cost
INTERMEDIATE: (18quests x 3,500mp prize) - 198,000mp = -135,000mp
PROFIT: 493,818mp rune - 135,500mp prize = 358,818mp total

25mil ÷ 520,818mp = 48.00 x 18quests = 864.03quests total
25mil ÷ 358,818 = 69.67 x 18quests = 1,254.12quests total

Therefore, according to current statistics, it will take me 864-1,254quests overall to pay off the 25mil. This is assuming that the pattern of a rune showing up is every 18 quests!
___________________________________________________
Log
Rune R - 302,786MP - 9th Apr 2017
Rune A - 218,958MP - 10th Apr 2017
Rune A - 217,998MP - 13th Apr 2017
Rune N - 469,488MP - 14th Apr 2017
Rune D - 273,829MP - 15th Apr 2017
Rune K - 255,005MP - 11th Jul 2017
Rune T - 279,386MP - 11th Jul 2017
Rune W - 463,841MP - 14th Jul 2017
Rune O - 231,290MP - 16th Jul 2017
Rune T - 279,249MP - 18th Jul 2017
Rune B - 268,095MP - 19th Jul 2017
Rune M - 274,428MP - 19th Jul 2017
Rune L - 226,754MP - 23rd Oct 2017
Rune D - 199,991MP - 24th Oct 2017
Rune C - 266,245MP - 1st Sep 2018
Rune AE - 296,945MP - 3rd Sep 2018
Rune S - 254,547MP 2nd Nov 2018
Rune O - 205,930MP 3rd Nov 2018
(I accidentally reset the sold page without counting thr rune sold, ~ 200,000 ) 11th May 2019
Rune Q - 399,015MP 16th May 2019
Rune N - 149,331MP 15th Oct 2019
Rune P - 399,639MP 28th Apr 2020
Rune J - 426,827MP 3rd May 2020
Rune M - 347,709MP 3rd May 2020
*Rune P - 374,932MP 8th May 2020
*Rune AE - 359,845MP 13th May 2020
*Rune Y - 9,946MP 18th May 2020
*Rune C - 374,584MP 23rd May 2020
*Rune P - 399,180MP 18th Jun 2020
------------------------
Total = 6,610,541MP
Percent = 26.44%

*Not incorporated in the final calculations
___________________________________________________
Disclaimer*

1) The data collected is as of May 08, 2020

2) The calculations were based on 500 quests and the rune average.

3) Not all runes gained will be in the high/average range, most will be in the 200,000-320,000mp range (or so I've collected so far).

4) The frequency of a rune showing up will also vary (chance/luck) and not solely every 18 quests, so in the future +/- quests will be needed to pay off the 25mil

5) Prize MP will also vary among quests, therefore will affect the number of quests needed to pay off the 25mil